Showing posts with label Nokia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nokia. Show all posts

May 21, 2015

5 Things Worth Knowing About 5G

Fifth-generation technology, mostly known as 5G, is already stumping up millions of dollars in research even though the standards framework for next-generation communication networks is to be set within the time corridor 2017 - 2019 and first commercial solutions expected to go live during 2020. Equipment vendors and component manufacturers want a part of the action when this happens because the prize is too big to ignore: being part of the 5G standard opens up a treasure chest of future licensing and royalty revenues that will handsomely pay off the investment in creating an arsenal of technology patents. Industry leaders are therefore leveraging their know-how and hammering out initial pre-standard 5G solutions in the hope of influencing standards bodies, regulators and operators. 5G now implies an extremely bold and overly ambitious vision on how future communication networks encompassing both fixed and mobile infrastructure will combine computing smarts to deliver never-seen before services in industry verticals. Currently it’s a panacea for everything that everyone ever wanted in terms of connecting people and things, and as such, a moving target. So let’s review five basic things worth knowing about 5G.


5G - a vision of next-gen communication networks

Why 5G?

First- and second-generation technology (1G / 2G) in the nineties allowed us to phone each other or send SMS messages on the go. 3G networks extended the mobility concept to data exhange for emails and Internet browsing using standards such as UMTS and HSPA. 4G brings the LTE standard into play, enabling mobile broadband applications such as video, gaming, social media and a fluid Internet experience. 5G takes this concept severals steps further with many experts claiming it to be revolutionary instead of evolutionary. The basic idea is to further improve the coverage, capacity, speed and energy efficiency of broadband communications, and also connect appliances, security sensors, health gadgets, door locks - the Internet of Things - and even cars with each other. Ultimately 25 billion networked devices are envisioned and most of these require a very low bandwidth yet long battery life.

What exactly is 5G?

Trying to pin down exactly what a standard might look like 4 years from now is a bit of a murky business based on the smattering of alternatives emanating from companies, alliances and research bodies from different regions and countries across the world. Experts largely agree that the specs for 5G should achieve:
  • an increase in capacity by factor 1000 to allow 10 000 times more traffic, necessary for connecting so many endpoints with each other
  • peak data rates of 10 Gbps with at least a reliable 100 Mbps available wherever needed, so that full movies can be downloaded in seconds
  • a decrease in latency by a factor of 100 into the low millisecond range, to guarantee that mission-critical control decisions in cars, robots and manufacturing tools be taken in time
  • a dramatic decrease energy consumption such that low-bandwidth battery-powered devices can operate for at least 10 years

Evolution to 5G - speed, latency and new RF

Next to these 10x - 100x - 1000x hard fact improvements, 5G is expected to include other measures of strategic importance to the network
  • the integration and optimisation of fixed networks (fibre) into a heterogenous 5G specification to support wireless access. New network concepts are needed to ensure the target specs for an integrated fixed/mobile hybrid infrastructure are met
  • multi-tiered network architectures will need to take data centers, cloud computing and other measures into consideration with the aim of bringing self-contained computing and communication capabilities closer to endpoints where they are needed, avoiding backhaul where possible
  • the integration of public-private spectrum sharing (read cellular vs. WiFi) into the radio access network (RAN) to overcome the spectrum scarcity in order to achieve capacity and data speed demands

5G’s most crucial challenges

Amongst the many issues 5G needs to address, two particularly thorny obstacles lie ahead:
  • Harmonization: 5G’s success and universal acceptance ultimately requires a single and unique worldwide standard. With the number of countries, players and interest groups involved, this will be no easy feat to achieve taking the scope of the undertaking and the time left for finding and committing to best-in-class technology ingredients from the many rivalling parties. It’s all about bringing the diverse viewpoints into one universally acknowledged specification in order to avoid fragmentation
  • Spectrum scarcity: achieving 5G’s high capacity, high speed and low latency target benchmarks requires freeing up or dynamically re-using scarce spectrum resources. A previous blog post addresses some of the current issues involved with the spectrum crunch. 5G further exacerbates the situation because it needs to straddle both broadband traffic at blistering speeds (in higher frequency bands) as well as low data rate IoT devices across a wide coverage area (in lower frequency bands). 5G will most likely support public safety communications as used by police, fire brigades… too and they have their own specific security and reliability demands. Add to that the differing spectrum allocation charts by country, and you end up with a herculean task. In short, to achieve 5G’s agenda will require as many chunks of spectrum from 300 MHz - 30 GHz (centimeter wave radio) and 30 GHz - 300 GHz (millimeter wave radio) as possible.

The 5G standardization process

At the heart of 5G standardization is the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) who will define the constituent parts of the new specification called IMT–2020 based on ratification of candidate technologies submitted. The ITU is organised into three divisions (ITU-T, ITU-R, ITU-D), two of which will be deeply involved with IMT–2020. ITU-T will cover the standardisation process whereas ITU-R will manage international spectrum and radio frequency recommendations and regulations. Owing to the scope of 5G, many more organizations (eg. 3GPP, IEEE, IETF…) and companies will contribute candidate technology proposals than was the case for 4G which led to the LTE and WiMAX standards. ITU-R holds so called World Radio Conferences (WRC) every three to four years where international treaties governing the use of the radio-frequency spectrum and geostationary-satellite and non-geostationary-satellite orbits are reviewed, recommended and revised. The next WRC–15 is set for November 2015 and besides agreeing on freeing up further spectrum below 6 GHz for 4G, the conference will look at spectrum topics to be addressed in terms of 5G in the forthcoming WRC–19 slated for 2019. If all goes well, the IMT–2020 standard will be set in stone on time. Karri Ranta-Aho at Nokia Networks reveals an insightful standardization timeline in a recent blog.

Pre-standard 5G research projects

In the current exploration & pre-standardization phase, the field is beginning to heat up as companies, research projects and alliances hope to leverage their candidate technologies for IMT–2020 integration. National telecom initiatives, international associations, infrastructure equipment vendors and mobile network operators are teaming with academia across the world to make the 5G vision come true. They are working furiously on network and air interface prototypes in the hope of IMT–2020 adopting their solutions. Major infrastructure vendors such as Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Huawei, NEC, Nokia, ZTE and others are investing considerable research resources outside of their home markets to ensure that they can pull the standardization strings to their advantage.
5G will be a heterogeneous solution encompassing networking, computing and storage in one programmable and unified infrastructure. It will utilize multiple spectrum and radio technologies and support three different kinds of profiles:
  1. superfast broadband for video and augmented/virtual reality
  2. low energy/low data rate for IoT devices
  3. low latency for time-critical industrial, automotive and enterprise applications.
Getting anywhere close to this vision by 2020 will be quite a feat. But as they say “reach for the stars”. In the meantime, 4G’s LTE and its future derivatives still have plenty of mileage in reserve to bridge that gap.

March 11, 2014

MWC 2014 - Mobile World Congress Wrap-Up

It feels like the early morning rush of commuters at a train station on a key junction, yet I'm on the upper walkway that connects the 8 pavilions at the new Fira Gran Via expo grounds in Barcelona that is host to the Mobile World Congress. Over 85000 attendees flocked to the annual gathering of the worldwide mobile crowd this year (2014) to see the products and services of more than 1800 exhibitors. Now, a few weeks later, as the dust of announcements, trends and gossip settle, here are some memorable observations from media, analysts and others who visited the show, including myself.

Great expo, but what about the conference?

Those of you who remember the original location of MWC in Cannes (titled 3GSM) or previous versions of the event at Barcelona's Montejuic fairgrounds will miss the distinct charm, the ease of getting there, and strolling around a confusing maze of booths without ever being connected to WiFi. What you now get instead is a long train ride, blisters on your feet from doing the rounds, BUT an admiringly well-organized exhibition. Hats off to GSMA and the venue people! Yet the adjunct conference pales substantially in terms of content. Passes start at €2,000.00 which is asking a lot for a conference agenda that fits on to a few pages and primarily boasts key note speakers of notoriety who are broadcast anyway on the many wall-like screens scattered across the fairgrounds.

Wearables herald a new era for devices

Wearables were this year's big new theme with smart watches and health bracelets everywhere. Will the consumer who is accustomed to never bother about regularly charging "jewellery" accept this new burden every other day?

What’s inside the Sony smart watch?
TechInsights
What’s Inside the Pebble watch?
ABI Research
What’s inside the Nike+ Fuelband SE?
TechInsights


Wireless charging by way of placing a device on a mat or specific surface is breaking through the ice with two consortia proposing different approaches.The Wireless Power Consortium is promoting it's Qi technology based on inductive charging whilst Rezence (formerly A4WP - The Alliance for Wireless Power) believes its magnetic resonance approach is more promising.

The Nokia X was launched at the MWC - notable in that it is a Microsoft device that uses Android instead of Windows' mobile operating system. A difficult balancing act lies ahead for Microsoft, and as Jim McGregor from Tirias Research notes, a clear downside its that it does not offer Google Play store, making the app side on the Nokia X rather unappealing.

Smartphone pricing is spiraling downwards in an attempt to capture lower-income markets segments. Case in point: Mozilla (mobile version of its operating system Firefox) teamed with Spreadtrum (Chinese mobile phone chip maker) to show a WCDMA/EDGE smartphone reference design that is expected to retail at no more than $25.00 owing to the low memory requirements of the browser. We'll have to wait to see if this promise is fulfilled.

Smartphone manufacturers are attempting new, innovative ideas to escape the unimaginative slate-life form factor. LG's new G Flex banana-shaped smartphone sports a large curved display with superior viewing qualities. Retailing at around € 800.00 this is not a smartphone for everyone, but certainly an eye-catcher.
LG's G Flex - Source: http://www.lg.com
Russia's Yota breaks the mold by featuring a second always-on, full-sized e-ink display on the back of its YotaPhone that opens up a set of never-thought-of-before useful features.
The YotaPhone with an always-on full.sized e-ink 2nd display - Source: http://yotaphone.com
Phone sizes are definitely on the increase proving the point that the shift from a device used primarily for voice calls to a browser/emai/messaging/entertainment platform is gaining further foothold. Apple beware! For the uninitiated it is indeed a weird spectacle to see users hold almost tablet-sized devices to their ears for that all important call. 
 

My next smartphone will be a 64-bit one

Ever since Apple introduced its 64-bit A7 application processor in the iPhone 5S, many other vendors have followed suit. The MWC had its fair share of announcements with Intel, Marvell, MediaTek, Nvidia and Qualcomm all announcing 64-bit chips with smartphones using these due towards the end of the year. The questions remains if bringing the performance of servers to mobile devices through a wide-bus architecture may be overkill. But remember, during the nineties many pundits were convinced that 8-bit mobiles would suffice forever. So the story goes on


64-bit mobile processors to dominate by 2018
ABI Research
Who needs 64-Bit mobile processors?
EETimes
Cellphone & Tablet Chip Markets
Forward Concepts

 

Cost cutting in the infrastructure world

Virtualization of functions in the network, particularly on the packet core and transport layer, is on the agenda of most infrastructure vendors as cost cutting goes into its next round. As Caroline Gabriel of Rethink Wireless notes "battle lines are being drawn, and the players are placing big bets on unproven technologies and new architectures." Particularly smaller players are providing new solutions that will drive down costs of the network and they will certainly be the target of acquisitions during the months ahead.
Small Cells that solve the challenge of overcoming the data capacity crunch in urban, enterprise and residential areas with high subscriber densities are now becoming real and entering the deployment stage. Yet overcoming the high cost of backhaul (in relation to the cost of the cell itself) remains an issue, as an Informa analyst notes. In a similar vein, Frank Rayall of Xona Partners reported "Backhaul is the problem!"  last year.

Backhaul is the problem

Machine-to-Machine (M2M) and Internet-of-Things (IoT)

Enabling all electronics and industrial devices with cellular or wireless capabilities is a promising way forward for operator's to expand their revenues outside of their traditional subscriber-based voice & data services. The challenge in the M2M (machine-to-machine) sector remains that every usage scenario is application specific with particular deployment considerations and constraints. This does not scale well and thus monetization remains a formidable challenge for operators. Moving to the home, Glenn Lurie of AT&T envisages that  "anything that has a current going through it" as a potential IoT (Internet-of-Things) device. Stan Boland whose start-up Neul offers complete IoT wireless solutions, including endpoint modules, base stations and management in the cloud, states that "the price of modules needs to drop below $2.00 and they need be protocol-agnostic" for IoT to become a viable option for consumer device and white good integration.

Enterprise Mobility is big

Mobile collaboration and BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) are driving security and cloud services in the enterprise space.  According to Andrew Brown of Strategy Analytics, the global mobile workforce will increase from 1.3 billion this year (2014) to 1.6 billion in 2017 with the Asia-Pacific region being particularly vibrant. No wonder that Enterprise Mobility is a key theme at MWC, taking up increasing exhibition space. I was surprised to see Airwatch (recently acquired by VMware) to have a booth that seemed to be one of the largest at the show despite a worldwide headcount of only 1600.

Enter "The Connected Car"

New to the MWC are exhibitors such as Ford, BMW, and Volvo, and the operator Telefonica showing a Tesla Model S on their booth. The trend "The Connected Car" is more than just about infotainment and navigation inside the car. Automotive manufacturers are testing new waters by embedding modems in the vehicle enabling better management from outside the car, allowing it to become one further item to deliver useful information to its owner's smartphone. It's also all about tightening the bond between vehicle manufacturer and owner through remote diagnostics to the point that tomorrow's car might be viewed as a further asset of an automotive manufacturer's fleet.

OTT - just another acronym but with enormous operator implications

The $19 billion Facebook acquisition of the WhatsApp somewhat eclipsed many other exciting announcements at this year's MWC. That's a formidable valuation for a 5-year old company with just over 55 employees and a product that some view as better SMS messaging for a $1 subscription fee per year. Yet it certainly drives home the point that Over-The-Top (OTT) services such as WhatsApp require priority attention from operators who will certainly see their share of the lucrative $1 billion per year worldwide SMS business shrink as time progresses. 

See you next year

All in all it was time well worth spent in Barcelona despite dizzying overnight costs. Mobile World Congress does really draw the worldwide mobile crowd in every respect.