Showing posts with label wearables. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wearables. Show all posts

October 23, 2014

Apple's Watch and Sensor Magic

Slated for release in early 2015, the Apple Watch will certainly raise eyebrows in many ways, possibly heralding in the consumerization of smartwatches. The company’s general mobile philosophy has been to cram more sensors into products than most of its competitors do. By integrating sensors, users not only carry a desktop computer in pocket format with them but a truly smart mobile device.
One of the more novel sensor solutions on-board the Watch can be seen on the back of its stainless steel and alumium casing: an optical system consisting of a combination of LEDs and photodiodes that gather data from both the visible and infrared spectrum.



Apple Watch's LEDs and photodiodes for heart rate measurement


Apple Watch’s LEDs and photodiodes for heart rate measurement

Photo courtesy of Apple, Inc.


With these sensors the Watch becomes a fitness device capable of measuring the user’s heart rate through optical sensing. In very basic terms this means shining a light through the skin of a user’s wrist and monitoring the change in blood flow in order to determine his or her pulse. It’s all about addressing today’s trend of the “Quantified Self” by continuously logging one’s daily activity as a means to improve basic fitness or even workout endurance over time. Electronic activity trackers are mostly sold as wearable bands today from the likes of Fitbit, Jawbone and Nike , but smartwatches and bands will converge at some future point. In 2014 around 10 million activity tracker bands will be sold worldwide and this figure is expected to triple in 2015. The market segment is set for exponential growth.

The smartwatch as a meaningful medical device


Lower-cost wrist bands are mostly attractive for those obsessed with tracking their activity and exercise. Yet will smartwatches such as Apple’s Watch also address real patients or the elderly who’s medication regime depends on regular and accurate monitoring of heart rate, blood pressure, blood oxygen levels (oximetry) or even blood sugar (glucose)? Two announcements provide some clues on this potential. Firstly, Apple has silently been hiring medical sensor experts over the past few years. The Apple Insider article identifies that a number of these hires were previously employed with serious medical companies. Secondly, Apple has filed a slew of patents related to medical monitoring over the past years. Patently Apple reports on several health and biometric-related patents in this area. Skeptics however purport that accurately measuring heart rate, as an example, is a big leap from the techniques that fitness trackers employ, maintaining that doctors rely on electrical not optical measurements for accuracy. Wearing a device on one’s wrist for correct pulse tracking requires it to be strapped very tightly so the sensor cannot move around during measurements. In addition, as users who measure blood pressure know, wrist measurements can be off from their true value by quite a bit because blood flows a lot slower by the time it reaches the body’s peripheral zones like the wrist. Many open questions and much room for speculation remain. Mike Nicholls of startup88 provides some “can’ts” why the Watch won’t cut it on the medical front. Are there any cans?

Many sensors make light work


Whilst accuracy imposes certain onerous requirements, it’s probably shortsighted to brush off the Watch’s possibly far-reaching medical potential. Point in case: today’s smartphones do not determine user location single-handedly by satellite (GPS) but in combination with input from other embedded sensors. Using complex calculations, data from their accelerometer, gyroscope, and magnetometer predict the user’s current position based on his previous one if a GPS signal is not available (dead reckoning). Multiple sensors termed as a sensor hub in combination with a power-friendly, always-on dedicated processor running signal processing algorithms can work sensor magic - possibly even medical magic. The Apple Watch is rumoured to have more than 10 sensors and will most likely also feature a motion coprocessor like the M7 (iPhone 5S) or M8 (iPhone 6). Combined with Apple’s talent pool of medical expertise it’s highly likely we can expect some surprises on the road ahead. If not in a 1st generation Watch, then for sure in its later product cycles.

October 1, 2014

Who Needs a Smartwatch?

Touted as the next big wave of consumer devices to impact our lifestyles, smartwatches will supposedly change many of our daily habits. Or will this be just one more device that finds it way into some drawer of collectibles after a few weeks of use? 

Examining my own behaviour, I have to admit that I always wore a wrist watch until the day I became the proud owner of my first cell phone. On that veritable day my cheap wrist watch became a forever companion to the special-occassion premium model in my bedside drawer. Yet recently I rediscovered the convenience of strapping a regular watch to my wrist to tell the time. A quick glance instead of fumbling for that phone slate somewhere deep in a pocket.

Hands freed up at long last

If you're on the go, there's a certain magic to having both hands free from carrying things like a luggage item or a phone. Smartwatches have the potential to deliver on that promise. In addition they they will be so much more than just an elegant timepiece.  Having a launchpad for calls, guidance, management and diversion strapped to one's wrist is a tempting thought. And a few clicks, swipes or voice commands could initiate all the fun. If regular wrist watches with a brand name cost 100 Euros at the lower end of the scale, then surely 300 Euros is a consumer-friendly price tag for a watch with smarts?

I’d be an easy mark for a smartwatch if
  • it offers full functionality without my smartphone, unless I want to make/take calls or access the internet.
  • the casing and industrial design in no way resemble an electronic device. As all smartphones resemble rectangular slates, it’s a fitting time to break out of the uniformity mould and revive lifestyle regalia.
  • it powers itself through a kinetic mechanism or energy harvesting. As long as I never have to charge it.
  • it unfolds a whole new world of “hands-free” functionality for
    • phone calls (missing parts: the Bluetooth earpiece that invisibly clips behind an ear or integrated in an eyeglasses’ arm, and some kind of highly directional microphone that won't require any strange gestures so that the person on the other end understands me)
    • effortless and efficient contactless payment
    • finding my way whilst walking or cycling
    • helping improve fitness or basic monitoring of health (heart rate, blood pressure, glucose level...)
My short list above might one day appear quite meek. Equipped with a multitude of sensors, smartwatches will see unthought of functionality unfold as creative developers build new applications using development kits that the manufacturers provide. The beauty of “smart” in smartwatch means different designs, different functions, different uses for different types of users.

Apple Watch
Samsung Gear S
Moto 360
Asus ZenWatch
LG G Watch R
Apple Watch

Photo courtesy of Apple
Samsung Gear S

Photo courtesy of Samsung
Moto 360
Photo courtesy of Motorola

Asus ZenWatch
Photo courtesy of Asus
LG G Watch R

Photo courtesy of LG


From Swatch to Rolex: will smartwatches ever span the breadth from the low-cost to the up-market?

Visitors to the Mobile World Congress earlier this year could witness smartwatches and fitness gadgets galore on display. Apart from the trendy fitness band, I have yet to see any of my personal acquaintances sporting a smartwatch. Will the announcement of Apple’s Watch for next year change consumer behaviour at the flick of a switch as they so often have proven before? 2015 might indeed provide the spark to catapult smartwatches and wearables into mass adoption.

Smartwatch and Wearables Shipments

Smartwatches fall into the so-called category of "Wearables" that many technology market research companies track. Forecasts vary and inflated expectations are sure to traverse a temporary trough before certain mass adoption occurs. Various sources suggest that around 10 million wearables were sold in 2013 with sports and activity trackers topping the list. Looking further into the future, opinions differ on the potential market size. Bold seers predict over USD 100 billion of wearable device revenue for 2018, whilst the more cautious cap their forecast at USD 30 billion. Compared to 2013 smartphone revenues of roughly USD 300 billion (around 1 billion smartphones were sold at an average price of USD 300) smartphones overshadow wearables considerably, but for how long?
On the smartwatch front Generator Research provide a short yet comprehensive history and outlook for smartwatches (free). The market research outfit’s recent study Smart Watches: 2014 forecasts sales of 5.8 million devices worldwide in 2014, rising to 313 million by 2020.

Sample Market Research on Wearables

Wearables Service
CCS Insights
Wearable Computing: Technologies, Applications and Global Markets
BCC Research
Investing in Wearables for Financial Services
Javelin Research
Wearable Computing: Fitness and Health in Style
Parks Associates 

On wi360 you’ll find many more report summaries that focus on wearables and smartwatches providing insight and opinions into a consumer market segment that is set to boom.

March 11, 2014

MWC 2014 - Mobile World Congress Wrap-Up

It feels like the early morning rush of commuters at a train station on a key junction, yet I'm on the upper walkway that connects the 8 pavilions at the new Fira Gran Via expo grounds in Barcelona that is host to the Mobile World Congress. Over 85000 attendees flocked to the annual gathering of the worldwide mobile crowd this year (2014) to see the products and services of more than 1800 exhibitors. Now, a few weeks later, as the dust of announcements, trends and gossip settle, here are some memorable observations from media, analysts and others who visited the show, including myself.

Great expo, but what about the conference?

Those of you who remember the original location of MWC in Cannes (titled 3GSM) or previous versions of the event at Barcelona's Montejuic fairgrounds will miss the distinct charm, the ease of getting there, and strolling around a confusing maze of booths without ever being connected to WiFi. What you now get instead is a long train ride, blisters on your feet from doing the rounds, BUT an admiringly well-organized exhibition. Hats off to GSMA and the venue people! Yet the adjunct conference pales substantially in terms of content. Passes start at €2,000.00 which is asking a lot for a conference agenda that fits on to a few pages and primarily boasts key note speakers of notoriety who are broadcast anyway on the many wall-like screens scattered across the fairgrounds.

Wearables herald a new era for devices

Wearables were this year's big new theme with smart watches and health bracelets everywhere. Will the consumer who is accustomed to never bother about regularly charging "jewellery" accept this new burden every other day?

What’s inside the Sony smart watch?
TechInsights
What’s Inside the Pebble watch?
ABI Research
What’s inside the Nike+ Fuelband SE?
TechInsights


Wireless charging by way of placing a device on a mat or specific surface is breaking through the ice with two consortia proposing different approaches.The Wireless Power Consortium is promoting it's Qi technology based on inductive charging whilst Rezence (formerly A4WP - The Alliance for Wireless Power) believes its magnetic resonance approach is more promising.

The Nokia X was launched at the MWC - notable in that it is a Microsoft device that uses Android instead of Windows' mobile operating system. A difficult balancing act lies ahead for Microsoft, and as Jim McGregor from Tirias Research notes, a clear downside its that it does not offer Google Play store, making the app side on the Nokia X rather unappealing.

Smartphone pricing is spiraling downwards in an attempt to capture lower-income markets segments. Case in point: Mozilla (mobile version of its operating system Firefox) teamed with Spreadtrum (Chinese mobile phone chip maker) to show a WCDMA/EDGE smartphone reference design that is expected to retail at no more than $25.00 owing to the low memory requirements of the browser. We'll have to wait to see if this promise is fulfilled.

Smartphone manufacturers are attempting new, innovative ideas to escape the unimaginative slate-life form factor. LG's new G Flex banana-shaped smartphone sports a large curved display with superior viewing qualities. Retailing at around € 800.00 this is not a smartphone for everyone, but certainly an eye-catcher.
LG's G Flex - Source: http://www.lg.com
Russia's Yota breaks the mold by featuring a second always-on, full-sized e-ink display on the back of its YotaPhone that opens up a set of never-thought-of-before useful features.
The YotaPhone with an always-on full.sized e-ink 2nd display - Source: http://yotaphone.com
Phone sizes are definitely on the increase proving the point that the shift from a device used primarily for voice calls to a browser/emai/messaging/entertainment platform is gaining further foothold. Apple beware! For the uninitiated it is indeed a weird spectacle to see users hold almost tablet-sized devices to their ears for that all important call. 
 

My next smartphone will be a 64-bit one

Ever since Apple introduced its 64-bit A7 application processor in the iPhone 5S, many other vendors have followed suit. The MWC had its fair share of announcements with Intel, Marvell, MediaTek, Nvidia and Qualcomm all announcing 64-bit chips with smartphones using these due towards the end of the year. The questions remains if bringing the performance of servers to mobile devices through a wide-bus architecture may be overkill. But remember, during the nineties many pundits were convinced that 8-bit mobiles would suffice forever. So the story goes on


64-bit mobile processors to dominate by 2018
ABI Research
Who needs 64-Bit mobile processors?
EETimes
Cellphone & Tablet Chip Markets
Forward Concepts

 

Cost cutting in the infrastructure world

Virtualization of functions in the network, particularly on the packet core and transport layer, is on the agenda of most infrastructure vendors as cost cutting goes into its next round. As Caroline Gabriel of Rethink Wireless notes "battle lines are being drawn, and the players are placing big bets on unproven technologies and new architectures." Particularly smaller players are providing new solutions that will drive down costs of the network and they will certainly be the target of acquisitions during the months ahead.
Small Cells that solve the challenge of overcoming the data capacity crunch in urban, enterprise and residential areas with high subscriber densities are now becoming real and entering the deployment stage. Yet overcoming the high cost of backhaul (in relation to the cost of the cell itself) remains an issue, as an Informa analyst notes. In a similar vein, Frank Rayall of Xona Partners reported "Backhaul is the problem!"  last year.

Backhaul is the problem

Machine-to-Machine (M2M) and Internet-of-Things (IoT)

Enabling all electronics and industrial devices with cellular or wireless capabilities is a promising way forward for operator's to expand their revenues outside of their traditional subscriber-based voice & data services. The challenge in the M2M (machine-to-machine) sector remains that every usage scenario is application specific with particular deployment considerations and constraints. This does not scale well and thus monetization remains a formidable challenge for operators. Moving to the home, Glenn Lurie of AT&T envisages that  "anything that has a current going through it" as a potential IoT (Internet-of-Things) device. Stan Boland whose start-up Neul offers complete IoT wireless solutions, including endpoint modules, base stations and management in the cloud, states that "the price of modules needs to drop below $2.00 and they need be protocol-agnostic" for IoT to become a viable option for consumer device and white good integration.

Enterprise Mobility is big

Mobile collaboration and BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) are driving security and cloud services in the enterprise space.  According to Andrew Brown of Strategy Analytics, the global mobile workforce will increase from 1.3 billion this year (2014) to 1.6 billion in 2017 with the Asia-Pacific region being particularly vibrant. No wonder that Enterprise Mobility is a key theme at MWC, taking up increasing exhibition space. I was surprised to see Airwatch (recently acquired by VMware) to have a booth that seemed to be one of the largest at the show despite a worldwide headcount of only 1600.

Enter "The Connected Car"

New to the MWC are exhibitors such as Ford, BMW, and Volvo, and the operator Telefonica showing a Tesla Model S on their booth. The trend "The Connected Car" is more than just about infotainment and navigation inside the car. Automotive manufacturers are testing new waters by embedding modems in the vehicle enabling better management from outside the car, allowing it to become one further item to deliver useful information to its owner's smartphone. It's also all about tightening the bond between vehicle manufacturer and owner through remote diagnostics to the point that tomorrow's car might be viewed as a further asset of an automotive manufacturer's fleet.

OTT - just another acronym but with enormous operator implications

The $19 billion Facebook acquisition of the WhatsApp somewhat eclipsed many other exciting announcements at this year's MWC. That's a formidable valuation for a 5-year old company with just over 55 employees and a product that some view as better SMS messaging for a $1 subscription fee per year. Yet it certainly drives home the point that Over-The-Top (OTT) services such as WhatsApp require priority attention from operators who will certainly see their share of the lucrative $1 billion per year worldwide SMS business shrink as time progresses. 

See you next year

All in all it was time well worth spent in Barcelona despite dizzying overnight costs. Mobile World Congress does really draw the worldwide mobile crowd in every respect.